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Crown Green Handicap

James Kelly

Team: Bebington ParkDivision: Division BLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

849

Current Handicap

9
Honours
Season:

14

Matches Played

5

Wins

9

Losses

36%

Win Rate

6.6

Avg Win Margin

8.1

Avg Loss Margin

4-3

Home Record

1-6

Away Record

18%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
14 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 7/22/2026

Only 14 of the 33 matches needed for full confidence in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player3/10

Season Highlights

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 14 matches

+9 Rising
7 Jun13 Jul16 May11 Jun4 Jul16 Jul22 Jul-13712
Started0
Lowest0
Current9
Win Percentage(35%)
36%
score-0.29→contribution-0.10
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
6.6
score-0.23→contribution-0.05
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
8.1
score-0.02→contribution-0.00
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
36%
score-0.29→contribution-0.03
Opponent Strength(15%)
878
score-0.42→contribution-0.06
Weighted Score-0.253
Sample Size Confidence
18%(14/33 matches)
Rating899 → shrunk 982→ adjusted 837
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)903
Recency Blend19% (14 recent matches)
Final Rating849
Handicap
9

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

5W9L14 matches·35.7% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Bebington Park2023–2026Division B, Division C145935.7%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
7/22/2026Tony ThelwellA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision B
7/23/2024Paul HarrisH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
7/16/2024John DaviesH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
7/9/2024Ron WhyteH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision C
7/4/2024Michael HewittA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision C
6/27/2024Ian PiercyA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision C
6/11/2024Kevin WalshH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
6/6/2024vs Sea DogA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
5/16/2024Mike CooperH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision C
8/17/2023Michael DabbsH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
7/13/2023Cathy KavanaghH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision C
6/22/2023Ann PritchardA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
6/7/2023vs Pensby CA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision C
6/1/2023Steve CharmleyA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
George ONeill Trophy2 games · 1W
20252 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundFrank Hoey / Derek MoodyBromborough Social Club15-13WINWON
Quarters RoundDave Eaton / Gillian McalenyThingwall10-15LOSSLOST
Andy Dawson Cup1 games · 0W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundRyan BarkerOxton Cons B16-21LOSSWON
Geoff Clare Trophy1 games · 0W
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundRoger HamerPensby C10-21LOSSWON
Leverhulme Cup1 games · 0W
20231 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundSteve WatsonBromborough Recs A13-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

2losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

3

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

4

Career worst losing streak

Last 560% win rate
LLWWW
Last 1040% win rate↑ improving
LLWWWLLLLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Tony Thelwell0110%7/22/2026
Paul Harris0110%7/23/2024
John Davies101100%7/16/2024
Ron Whyte101100%7/9/2024
Michael Hewitt101100%7/4/2024
Ian Piercy0110%6/27/2024
Kevin Walsh0110%6/11/2024
Sea Dog0110%6/6/2024
Mike Cooper0110%5/16/2024
Michael Dabbs101100%8/17/2023
Biggest Win
Cathy Kavanagh (+11)7/13/2023
Heaviest Defeat
Ian Piercy (-15)6/27/2024
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
29% → 43%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
85812 known · 2 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-20% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
5-550% win rate

By Division

Division C5-8 (38%)
Division B0-1 (0%)
Division B0%
0W·1L·1 played
Division C38.5%
5W·8L·13 played

Debut

Jun 1, 2023

Latest

Jul 22, 2026

Seasons Active

3 (3.1 yr span)

Matches / Season

4.7 (14 total)

Seasons

202320242026